Minnesota high school graduation rate?

Minnesota’s Department of Education recently made a major announcement about high school graduation rates increasing that left out something important.

MDE materials distributed to the press did not mention that there was a major change in the high school graduation requirements between 2012 and 2013. Students hoping to graduate in spring 2012 were required to pass statewide reading and writing tests (called GRAD tests), but in 2013, students were no longer required to pass those tests. Instead, they were required to take one of several tests – such as the ACT, a test for the military or the Accuplacer, which many two-year colleges use for placement – but they were not required to score at any particular level. For several years, students haven’t had to pass a statewide math test to graduate.

Before deciding whether the higher graduation rates are great news, we need answers to several questions. Did a higher percentage of Minnesota students graduate from high school in spring 2013 because expectations were different? How many students graduated because their schools applied new, potentially less challenging requirements in spring 2013? How much progress on closing graduation gaps came because these different requirements were used in spring 2013?

Joe Nathan

Joe Nathan

On Feb. 19, Minnesota Commissioner of Education Brenda Cassellius said in a press release that Minnesota’s high school graduation rate increased overall by 1.93 percent from 2012 to 2013. She believes this was “the result of targeted investments by Gov. Mark Dayton and the Legislature, as well as greater accountability for schools through our waiver, and the incredible work being done each and every day by Minnesota’s educators.” Minnesota Department of Education statistics also showed greater graduation rates gains for groups such as American Indian (3 percent), Asian (4 percent), Hispanic (5 percent) and Black (6 percent). The MDE press release also asserts: “No single group of students made less than a 3 percentage point gain.”

That’s not accurate. Materials MDE handed out at the press conference show white students made a 1.13 percentage gain, and special education students made a 1.53 percentage gain.

Unquestionably, most of the credit for high school graduation should go to students, educators and families. In the most effective schools, those folks are working together to help young people develop their skills and talents.

However, as I talked with more than 20 district and charter school leaders, legislators and community officials, a number of them cited the change in state requirements as one of the reasons for increased high school graduation rates.

Some, but not all, districts and charters interpreted material given to them in spring 2013 to mean that students no longer had to pass statewide reading or writing requirements to graduate in 2013.

The confusion I heard from school administrators about what tests students had to pass is not surprising.

Let’s say parents want to know what tests their youngsters must pass to graduate. As of Feb. 19, here’s what the MDE had written about the role of statewide assessments in determining which students would graduate:

“Assessments: Based on new legislation, the graduation assessment requirements have changed. Additional information will be provided as soon as possible once a comprehensive review of the new requirements is completed.” (Find this at http://bit.ly/1fhp25R.)

The “new legislation” was adopted in spring 2013. Accurate, updated information should be available on the MDE website. Given the lack of clarity on the MDE website, no wonder some people are confused.

Were the new requirements a good idea? Opinions are split.

Rep. Carlos Mariani, DFL-St. Paul, and chair of the Minnesota House Education Policy Committee, wrote to me via email: “I don’t think we can say definitively – haven’t seen the desegregated data as of yet – that eliminating the high stakes has led to increases in graduation rates, but I think it is plausible to say that it may have contributed to increases. I’m told that repeal of the GRAD in (one district) alone resulted in an additional 187 ELL (English language learners program) students to graduate. I think that is good because it means that 187 students are able to continue with their dreams in jobs or post-secondary. Remember, they still have to pass their courses, show up to school, etc. in order to graduate.”

But Jim Bartholomew, education policy director at the Minnesota Business Partnership, told me: “It would be groundbreaking news if the graduation rate did NOT increase – the state eliminated its basic skills expectations in reading, writing and math! We may be misleading graduates, their families and the broader community into thinking graduates have the skills they need to succeed in colleges and the work world.”

In an MDE press conference Feb. 19, I asked Commissioner Cassellius how many students graduated in 2013 who had not yet passed the state’s reading or writing tests. She pointed out that many students pass these tests earlier in their high school career. I agree.

But how many districts graduated students who had not passed the tests, but were allowed to graduate because of legislative changes in spring 2013? She said that she did not know.

Kate Maguire, superintendent of District 279 (Osseo Area), told me via email: “The Legislature acted late in spring 2013. We were operating under the premise that the tests would count. As a result of legislative action late last spring, the tests were not required if students took an alternative. We had more than 20 students who graduated because of the new requirements. We think that the alternative pathways most benefited the English language learners.”

Barbara Murphy, testing coordinator at High School for Recording Arts in St. Paul, agreed with Maguire. HSRA has received local, state and national attention for its success in helping students who had not succeeded in traditional schools. Many are from low-income families and are “students of color.” Murphy wrote that the new requirements did not have an impact on graduation of students who already had passed the tests. But for some potential graduates who had not yet passed the tests, “this positively affected graduation rates for June 2013.”

Cambridge High School Principal Mitch Clausen told me that the district decided to retain the reading and writing tests. “We wanted to hold students accountable for that standard,” he said. Now that the state requirement has been eliminated, the district is working on the requirements using statewide rubrics.

Steve Massey, principal at Forest Lake High School, believes the increased statewide high school graduation rates are due in part because of “the alternative route to passing the Minnesota Comprehensive Assessments” that allowed students to take other tests if they could not pass the statewide reading or writing test. He also cited legislation adopted some years ago that requires students take two years of what he calls “core algebra” beginning in eighth grade. Massey also thinks the increased graduation rate is partially a result of “increased rigor of the middle level standards, particularly in math, along with an increased emphasis on college readiness.”

Rep. Sondra Erickson, R-Princeton, explained, “Improvement in graduation rates could very well have been influenced in part by the fact districts were told the Graduate Rule had been eliminated.” She also credited the “great work of many students … classroom teachers, school leaders and families.”

Tom Kearney, of New Heights charter in Stillwater, reminded me this week that “statistics are really tricky.” Mary Cecconi, executive director of Parents United, recently wrote, in the TC Daily Planet, an online publication, that one lesson learned through Parents United’s operation is that it’s best to look beyond the surface and name of something and find all of its potential consequences. I strongly agree with Kearney and Cecconi.

It seems to me that in describing increases in 2013 high school graduation rates, state officials should acknowledge that in spring 2013, graduation requirements were changed.

It’s too early to know if this was a good or bad change. Are we helping or hurting students by removing requirements that they pass reading, writing or math tests before graduating? What will be the impact on the number and percentage of students who take remedial courses on entering college and universities?

I’ve previously written about the “Getting Prepared” report that describes how many students are taking remedial courses in Minnesota’s public colleges and universities. The Legislature requires it be produced annually. But the report has not been published since 2011. Larry Pogemiller, director of the Minnesota Office of Higher Education, told me this week that the report is coming, perhaps in the next month. But I’ve been hearing from MOHE officials since April 2013 that the report will be published soon.

Improving graduation rates is a good thing if it means more students are well prepared for what they want to do next in life. Right now, we don’t know how many are or aren’t.

We do know that part of the reason more students graduated is because Minnesota changed its rules on what students have to do to graduate.

Joe Nathan, formerly a Minnesota public school teacher, administrator and PTA president, directs the Center for School Change. Reactions welcome, joe@centerforschoolchange.org.

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